Cincy ForecastDaily Weather Updates and Analysis

The upcoming week will feature several chances for precipitation (both rain and snow), as well as a roller-coaster ride of temperatures.

Mon
A fast-moving storm system will continue to slide northeast, helping to push a cold front through the area(which will bring cooler air and clearing skies). Most of the shower activity will end by noon (with the exception of scattered afternoon activity). Temps will remain cool given the thick cloud cover and spotty showers.

Tue
High pressure will gain control of the Ohio Valley briefly for Tuesday. Expect partly cloudy skies and highs in the lower 50s to be the norm, which is certainly a tease for what is to come!

Wed-Thu
High pressure will continue to move east on Wednesday, ahead of a developing low pressure system sliding north out of the Gulf of Mexico. While this storm has been poorly modeled by the various forecasting tools/models over the past several days, an increasing amount of agreement has been occuring over the last couple runs (models showing a similar output). At this point in time, it appears that the low pressure center will track very close (or right over) the tri-state, resulting in a rain event (possibly heavy). Given the track, we will be in or very close to the warm sector, which will provide us with milder temps (highs in the upper 40s/lower 50s). As the system really begins to bomb out to our north on Thursday, much colder air will spill into the tri-state, allowing any remaining moisture to fall in the form of snow. Some of the models are showing a quick thumping of snow right behind the cold front, possibly accumulating up to an inch or two. Given the warm ground/marginal surface temps, any accumulation would be confined to grassy/metal surfaces, as well as bridges/overpasses. However, as temps plummet Thu night (low/mid 20s), any remaining water/slush would easily re-freeze, especially on untreated surfaces. Temps don’t rebound much at all by the time Friday rolls around, as highs will only make it into the middle 30s!

Sat-Sun
Temperatures will begin to moderate a bit for Saturday as high pressure once again takes a brief term of control. Expect highs to top out in the lower 40s along with partly cloudy skies. For Sunday, clouds will once again be on the increase as another storm system closes in. Rain looks to develop during the pre-dawn hours, continuing through the rest of the day and into early next week. Highs will once again only make it into the 40s, so if the system were to pan out in the fashion that today’s models are showing, it will definately be a chilly rain. Given the fact that said storm is about a week away, much can change. Some models are showing a snowstorm, while a majority are showing rain (possibly heavy), ending as snow. I will have a much better idea of the storm’s output by the middle/end of this work-week!

Wed-Fri
An area of low pressure, currently spinning across IA/IL, will continue to slide northeast over the next several days. Because of this, the tri-state will deal with off-and-on precip chances. Because we are on the warm side of the low, expect all rain through Wednesday night. By Thursday morning, enough cold air will mix into the area to allow for the rain showers to mix with snow. By Thursday night/Fri, whatever moisure is left will fall as all snow, possibly giving some areas a dusting (though most of it will melt on contact).

Sat
High pressure will briefly gain control of our weather for Saturday. Clearing skies and a SSW flow will allow for temps to rebound into the lower to middle 50s, which will feel great after the low 40s for Thu/Fri!

Sun-Tue
Another storm system will once again begin to affect the area by late in the day on Sunday. Because it will be originating from the Gulf of Mexico, it will have a ton of rich moisture to work with. I’ll be honest here. The forecast beyond Sunday is really up in the air at this point. There are so many solutions that could play out, each of which would have a different impact on the tri-state. The first solution is that the storm system tracks right over us or just to the west. If that were to occur, we’d see mild air and heavy rain. If the low tracks along or just to the west of the App Mtns, then we’d be game on for a significant snow event (several inches). Finally, if the low were to be suppressed to the south (tracking east of the App Mtns), then we’d see light snow with very minor accumulations (or even just increased cloud cover, depending on how far east the low tracks). Those are the main three root scenarios that we need to watch out for. I will have much more on this potential snow/rain event in the coming days. Stay tuned!

After a nice weekend, the area of high pressure is on the move. For your Monday, expect increasing clouds through the day due to a disturbance sliding to our southeast. I wouldn’t rule out a couple showers developing in the afternoon hours as well, though it would be spotty in nature. Because of the clouds/shower threat, temps will be held down. Most areas will only make it into the lower to middle 50s tomorrow, so sweatshirts would be a good idea to bring.

After a great weekend weatherwise (and in the world of football), unsettled weather is back. An area of low pressure to our west is in the process of separating itself from the jet stream (aka “cutting off”). This cut-off low will slowly meander through the Ohio Valley for the remainder of the work-week, providing daily chances of showers. Because of the widespread cloudiness and occassional showers, high temps will only make it into the 50s, and lows will only fall into the 40s.