Cincy ForecastDaily Weather Updates and Analysis

Strong to severe thunderstorms are looking like a distinct possibility this evening-night. A warm front is located just to the north of the metro, which puts a good deal of the area in the warm sector (south of warm front/east of cold front). Strong to severe thunderstorms are beginning to organize along the warm and cold front, which I expect to continue through the evening/early overnight hours. A severe thunderstorm watch has been issued for the Cincinnati area until midnight. Please stay with Cincy Forecast for the very latest on this developing severe weather situation.

After another warm and occasionally stormy day yesterday, Thursday looks to hold much of the same. A cold front will be passing through during the afternoon hours, which will help to spark the development of scattered showers and thunderstorms, some strong/heavy. While I am not forecasting any widespread severe weather, an isolated severe cell or two is not out of the question. The morning should be fairly dry, with partly to mostly cloudy skies. The best chance for rain will be during the afternoon hours, which will then taper off through the evening/night.

The forecasts as of late seem like a broken record…warm each day with scattered afternoon storms. Wednesday will be no different, with the exception being that the afternoon/evening showers and thunderstorms will be a bit more numerous in coverage. The stubborn stationary front that has been draped over the Ohio Valley will finally begin to lift north as a warm front through the day. That places the tri-state in the “warm sector” of the whole storm system, which should allow for a fairly dry morning. However, as the afternoon/evening hours roll around, a cold front will be pushing towards our area, helping to spark the development of showers/thunderstorms, some of which may be strong/heavy. I do not expect any widespread severe thunderstorms across the Ohio Valley, but an isolated severe cell or two cannot be ruled out. The rain will begin to really taper off on Thursday, which will set the stage for a brilliant Friday!

What an awesome weekend (weather-wise) we just had! Temps topped out in the 70s/80s, with plenty of sunshine! The isolated showers/thunder didn’t seem to foil too many plans/activities, plus they helped to cool things off a bit! Look for the rain threat to continue for today as the atmosphere remains moist/unstable. Highs will top out in the upper 70s/lower 80s area-wide, so it will definately feel warm outside! The humidity, however, will feel downright nasty! Currently (8:00am), dewpoints across the area are in the middle to upper 60s, which is definately entering the “very uncomfortable” rating. Expect the development of showers/thunderstorms to occur during the afternoon hours, some of which may be strong/heavy. PWAT (Precipital Water) values are at or above 1.5″, which basically means that any storm which does develop has a good chance of dropping some heavy rainfall rates! Watch out for ponding this afternoon/evening!

Wow! Does it feel like summer outside or what??? After several days in the 70s and 80s, Sunday looks to continue the trend. There is a chance (30%) of showers/thunderstorms, but they will be scattered. By Monday (Memorial Day), the chance for rain increase to 60%…so plan accordingly! It won’t be an all day rain-event, but when the afternoon/evening hours roll around, expect the development of showers and thunderstorms across the tri-state, some of which may be strong/heavy…

Wow! What a nice streak of weather we are having! Look for highs to soar into the lower to middle 80s for Thursday under mostly sunny skies! The rain chances for the weekend (that I have been talking about) still look to be present, but as said before, will be scattered/spotty. Check out my latest five-day outlook for more!

After a magnificent Tuesday, Wednesday looks to hold much of the same! An area of high pressure will continue to spin to our east, which will allow for a continued south/southwesterly flow to pump into the tri-state! However, change is looming in the Gulf of Mexico. A storm system is progged to slowly push west, then north towards the Ohio Valley (or at least its associated moisture). That will allow for the addition of rain chances into the forecast starting on Friday, then continuing through the weekend.

The title of this blog entry says it all…much warmer air is on the way! An area of high pressure is in the process of sliding to our east, which will allow for a south/southwesterly flow to begin pumping into the tri-state. For Tuesday, expect highs to creep up into the middle 70s under mostly sunny skies!

Enjoy!

Look for another sunny and warm day today across the tri-state! Highs will reach the lower to middle 70s! After falling into the middle 50s tonight, we will yet again soar into the middle 70s for tomorrow afternoon! Precip wise, tomorrow looks to be interesting. There is a ton of forecast model inconsistency to dig through on the forecasting end, which always makes things difficult. The GFS (my model of choice…usually) is showing a nasty MCS rolling through tomorrow afternoon, likely bringing with it heavy rain/severe weather. However, that is the only model showing said MCS impacting our area. In a normal case, I would denounce the outlier model run and focus on what the majority of the runs are showing. However, the GFS was really the only model to pick up on the nasty derecho/MCS that rolled to our west/southwest last week. Thus, I am not as skeptical of the solution it is showing. Warm fronts tend to become fairly active during this time of year, which is another reason I am having doubts that the GFS truely is the outlier on this one…